As Americans go to the polls to decide who will be their leader for the next four years, as well as the most powerful man on earth, no one is predicting the result.
Pundits cite the polls that put Obama on 50 per cent and Romney at 47, and then quickly add the words – ‘but it’s too close to call.’
By all accounts, the dirtiest campaign in presidential history – don’t they say that about every single one – where the only real winners have been the advertisers, is now set for a cliff hanger.
Should the current incumbent succeed – as appears likely at this moment – then no doubt he will be taking a long look at Wall Street who provided him with a fraction of the financial backing they gave to Romney.
If the result goes the other way – as is equally likely – then the new man may want to ask why when the economy was so clearly the issue dominating every American voter, did he so struggle – given his background and credentials as a businessman – to persuade ordinary Americans to back him earlier.
Either way, the man at top faces a monumental task – if Obama was handed a poisoned chalice fours ago, then what has the next President of America been bequeathed now?
Bani Walid, a former Gaddafi stronghold, remains to be ‘liberated’, one year after the capture and murder of the Libyan dictator, the new regime has admitted.
Speaking on Libyan television late on Friday, Libyan leader Mohammed Magarief said the new regime had struggled to impose their authority on a country awash with weapons.
The national congress leader claimed the town of Bani Walid, some 160 kms (100 miles) south of Tripoli, had become a ‘safehaven’ for those who were ‘outside the law.’
He blamed“delays” in the formation of the army and police and the failure to disarm and integrate former rebels for the chaos in Libya.
“The campaign to liberate the country has not been fully completed.
“…the spread of chaos that has lured the old regime to infiltrate the country’s institutions inside and to conspire with the regime loyalists on the outside.
“And the chaos has lured others to kidnappings, stealing, and to create non-legitimate prisons. What has happened in Bani Walid in the last few days falls under this … it has become a safe haven for a large number of those who are outside of the law.”
Militias, aligned with the Defence Ministry, have shelled the hilltop town of 70,000 for several days. Many of those in the militias were from the rival town of Misrata, that are angry at the death of rebel fighter Omran Shaban (pictured above) after two months in detention in Bani Walid.
Shaban, from Misrata, was the man who found Colonel Muammar Gaddafi hiding in a drain pipe in Sirte on October 20, 2011.
Libya’s congress ordered the Defence and Interior Ministries to find those responsible for abducting Shaban and suspected of torturing him to death.
The drone attacks are carried out by the Central Intelligence Agency and not the US military since Pakistan is not a zone of armed conflict, unlike neighbouring Afghanistan.
Earlier this year, President Barack Obama insisted the strategy was “kept on a very tight leash” and that without the drones, the US would have had to resort to “more intrusive military action”.
The report, by Stanford University and New York University’s School of Law, says top commanders only account for an estimated 2% of drone victims.
The report also details hundreds of civilian casualties and the effects of drone strikes on the local population. It cites data from the Bureau of Investigative Journalism estimating that between 474 and 881 civilians have been killed in strikes between 2004 and 2012.
“In the United States, the dominant narrative about the use of drones in Pakistan is of a surgically precise and effective tool that makes the US safer by enabling ‘targeted killings’ of terrorists, with minimal downsides or collateral impacts. This narrative is false,” according to the report, Living Under Drones.
“Publicly available evidence that the strikes have made the US safer overall is ambiguous at best,” it says, adding that targeted killings and drone attacks undermine respect for international law.
The report says that the US government rarely acknowledges civilian casualties, though there is significant evidence that civilians are being injured and killed.
The report highlights the impact of drone attacks on civilians in Pakistan’s tribal regions. Citing “extensive interviews with the local population”, the authors say:
children are being taken out of school out of fear of a drone-strike or to compensate for income lost from a dead or wounded relative
there is “significant evidence” of the practice of “double-tap” strikes in which rescuers arriving at the scene are targeted in follow-up attacks
drones flying overhead have led to “substantial levels of fear and stress… in the civilian communities”
as well as injury or death, the attacks cause property damage, severe economic hardship and emotional trauma for the injured and their families
people are afraid to attend gatherings such as funerals for fear of attack
Datta Khel drone strike
According to the report, 42 people were killed, mostly civilians, when they gathered at a bus depot on 17 March 2011 for a “jirga” (community meeting) to settle a dispute over a nearby mine.
The Pakistani military commander said the local military post had been alerted 10 days beforehand so those at the meeting were not concerned by drones overhead.
Several missiles were fired. Nearly all those who died were heads of large households.
The jirga had been chaired by Malik Daud Khan, a political liaison between the government, military and other tribal leaders.
Source: Living Under Drones – Stanford Law School and NYU School of Law
Anyone who met Christopher Stevens said he was a very nice man who had a lot of time for you. He was also proud of the role he had taken in ousting Colonel Gaddafi and in helping the Transitional National Council into Tripoli.
So, it is a cruel irony that he has been killed in a country he helped to free, in the place where the rebellion began and of course on the eleventh anniversary of those infamous attacks on America.
The cause for the rocket attacks on the US consulate in Benghazi is a film that clearly insults the Prophet Muhammad and the Muslim Brotherhood of Egypt have today called for worldwide condemnation of the movie made by Israeli film maker Sam Bacile.
Post-Gaddafi Libya has of course been a disaster with the ruling government in Tripoli largely ignored as armed gangs control large parts of the capital, and outside.
Libya is in danger of breaking into three – all of which calls into question Nato’s decision to intervene as Gaddafi’s Libyan forces were amassed outside Benghazi.
Yesterday’s brutal actions that resulted in the deaths of Stevens and three other consular members have been condemned by Hilary Clinton. This was, of course, the same Hilary Clinton who jumped for joy on hearing of Colonel Gaddafi’s death.
Today, the same man who had thrilled his nation with his presence and magnetism was now calling on those very people who had voted him into the White House to be patient.
A shot into his eyes showed the hunger and desire was still there.
Sadly, though there was little in terms of ideas as how he will tackle a national debt that because of his presidency was now 5 trillion dollars bigger.
Instead, the once great hope resorted to attacking his opponent, who he said offered little except tax breaks to the rich and was woefully short of foreign policy experience.
Obama’s only ‘triumph’ in the latter is of course the assassination of Osama bin Laden in Abbotabad in Pakistan.
Whist his predecessor was known for Guantanamo Bay, water boarding nd renditions, as well as the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, this President will surely be remembered for the use of drone in targeted assassinations that often missed causing huge damage to civilians in Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia,
So, if Mitt Romney is indeed inexperienced, recent history teaches us that, like Obama and Bush before him, he will catch up fast.
When Barack Obama broke the mould to become the first African-American to lead his nation, there were many tears – and many fears.
For the America, that this Democrat inherited from George W Bush was in a hole – economically, thanks to the banking crisis and his predecessor’s fiscal over spending.
There was also, some outside his nation told him, the problem with America’s foreign policy.
Of course, those voices don’t vote.
That left the economy, which was little more than a disaster.
Now four years on, the national debt is $5 trillion dollars bigger, whilst three million more Americans are also unemployed.
His supporters would point to healthcare reform, which gave more Americans access to medicare than before.
Trouble is, America already spent a colossal amount on health care, before this very expensive intervention by the Democrats.
And this is a country where fifty per cent of the nation still does not pay tax and where the next biggest burden on the county’s finances – alongside healthcare – is welfare spending.
Over the weekend, the Obama camp ran a series of ads attacking Mitt Romney’s economic credentials and the result is that today, the two are tied for the race for the Presidency.
This week is of course the turn of the Democrats to accept Barack Obama’s nomination to run for as their candidate for the White House.
What he will need to spell out during this week is what exactly he plans to do with the American economy over the next four years – because the best that could be said of his last term is that it could have been far worse.