TEMPLATE ANALYSIS

If the gun men who are currently being evicted from the Westgate Shopping Centre in Nairobi are indeed from the Islamist group, known as al Shabab, then the people  of conflict-torn Somalia better be prepared for more war.

Both Kenya and Ethiopia unilaterally decided to launch an invasion of a country that has never accepted a foreign power, let alone a Christian one, when the Islamic Courts movement had gained control of Somalia bringing to it some semblance of stability.

The result was to restore an unpopular and corrupt government in Mogadishu, which was backed by American drone strikes and some Western money.

At the time, there were warnings from al-Shabab that the countries responsible would pay for this.

Those who ignored them, need to explain their decisions in the light of the dreadful events of the last three days.

A further invasion, incursion by outside powers, will breed more violence, for clearly the men who attacked shoppers last Saturday, were prepared to take the fight back into the countries they see as their enemy.

That means Somalia which has known decade after decade of war, since the eighties, will still not have a stable central government that will protect and serve its people, millions of whom wonder the world as refugees.