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TEMPLATE ANALYSIS

On Saturday, more than seventy people were killed as Egyptian security forces attempted to disperse a large demonstration by supporters of the ousted President Mohammed Morsi.

And yesterday, thousands more camped in three parts of Cairo in defiance of a warning from the army, the very army that claims to have their interests at heart.

Today, Catherine Ashton, from the EU, met the installed President, the head of the army and the current leader of the Muslim Brotherhood, who would do well to keep his head down, given the current soundings from the military about what they intend to do with the ousted democratically elected head of the Arab World’s most populous nation.

Ashton urged an ‘inclusive’ process.

That like other soundings from commentators – referring to realpolitik – will not do.

For Egypt is at a crossroads – if the Muslim Brotherhood are not allowed to complete their democratic mandate, no one in Egypt that is not from the army or the elite will ever have faith in the ballot box again.

That means 75 per cent of the population who voted in last year’s historic election for the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist groups, will have no voice in their own country.

And that’s a recipe for a civil war.